Statistics: Informed Decisions Using Data (4th Edition)

Published by Pearson
ISBN 10: 0321757270
ISBN 13: 978-0-32175-727-2

Chapter 6 - Section 6.3 - Assess Your Understanding - Applying the Concepts - Page 351: 13e

Answer

No, it would not be unusual.

Work Step by Step

$P(fewer~than~4)=P(x\lt4)=P(0)+P(1)+P(2)+P(3)=\frac{(0.3\times5)^0}{0!}e^{-0.3\times5}+\frac{(0.3\times5)^1}{1!}e^{-0.3\times5}+\frac{(0.3\times5)^2}{2!}e^{-0.3\times5}+\frac{(0.3\times5)^3}{3!}e^{-0.3\times5}=\frac{1}{1}e^{-1.5}+\frac{1.5}{1}e^{-1.5}+\frac{2.25}{2}e^{-1.5}+\frac{3.375}{6}e^{-1.5}=0.934$ The probability that there will be 4 or more (at least 4) insect fragments in a 5-gram sample is the complement of the probability that there will be fewer than 4 insect fragments in a 5-gram sample. Using the Complement Rule (see page 275): $P(at~least~4)=P(x\geq4)=1-P(x\lt4)=1-0.934=0.066$ $P(at~least~4)\gt0.05$. So, it is not an unusual event.
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