Statistics: Informed Decisions Using Data (4th Edition)

Published by Pearson
ISBN 10: 0321757270
ISBN 13: 978-0-32175-727-2

Chapter 5 - Review - Review Exercises - Page 316: 20

Answer

$P(all~3~cards~are~aces)=\frac{1}{5525}\approx0.0001810$

Work Step by Step

- First card: The sample space are the 52 cards. So, $N(S_1)=52$ There are 4 aces. Now, consider the event "first card is an ace". $N(first~card~is~an~ace)=4$ Using the Classical Method (page 259): $P(first~card~is~an~ace)=\frac{N(first~card~is~an~ace)}{N(S_1)}=\frac{4}{52}=\frac{1}{13}$ - Second card: The sample space are the 51 remaining cards. So, $N(S_2)=51$ There are 3 remaining aces. Now, consider the event "second card is an ace". $N(second~card~is~an~ace~|~first~card~is~an~ace)=3$ Using the Classical Method (page 259): $P(second~card~is~an~ace~|~first~card~is~an~ace)=\frac{N(second~card~is~an~ace~|~first~card~is~an~ace)}{N(S_2)}=\frac{3}{51}=\frac{1}{17}$ - Third card: The sample space are the 50 remaining cards. So, $N(S_3)=50$ There are 2 remaining aces. Now, consider the event "third card is an ace". $N(third~card~is~an~ace~|~the~two~first~cards~are~aces)=2$ Using the Classical Method (page 259): $P(third~card~is~an~ace~|~the~two~first~cards~are~aces)=\frac{N(third~card~is~an~ace~|~the~two~first~cards~are~aces)}{N(S_3)}=\frac{2}{50}=\frac{1}{25}$ Now, using the General Multiplication Rule (page 289): $P(all~3~cards~are~aces)=P(first~card~is~an~ace)\times P(second~card~is~an~ace~|~first~card~is~an~ace)\times P(third~card~is~an~ace~|~the~two~first~cards~are~aces)=\frac{1}{13}\times\frac{1}{17}\times\frac{1}{25}=\frac{1}{5525}\approx0.0001810$
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