Statistics: Informed Decisions Using Data (4th Edition)

Published by Pearson
ISBN 10: 0321757270
ISBN 13: 978-0-32175-727-2

Chapter 5 - Section 5.4 - Assess Your Understanding - Applying the Concepts - Page 294: 25

Answer

$P(first~person~is~Dave~and~second~person~is~Neta)=\frac{1}{20}=0.05$

Work Step by Step

We are assuming that the sampling is done without replacement, that is, the second person chosen must be different from the first person chosen. - First person chosen: The sample space = {Mike, Neta, Jinita, Kristin, Dave}. So, $N(S_1)=5$ Now, consider the event "first person is Dave". $N(first~person~is~Dave)=1$ Using the Classical Method (page 259): $P(first~person~is~Dave)=\frac{N(first~person~is~Dave)}{N(S_1)}=\frac{1}{5}$ - Second person chosen: The sample space = {Mike, Neta, Jinita, Kristin}. So, $N(S_2)=4$ Now, consider the event "second person is Neta". $N(second~person~is~Neta~|~first~person~is~Dave)=1$ Using the Classical Method (page 259): $P(second~person~is~Neta~|~first~person~is~Dave)=\frac{N(second~person~is~Neta)}{N(S_2)}=\frac{1}{4}$ Now, using the General Multiplication Rule (page 289): $P(first~person~is~Dave~and~second~person~is~Neta)=P(first~person~is~Dave)\times P(second~person~is~Neta~|~first~person~is~Dave)=\frac{1}{5}\times\frac{1}{4}=\frac{1}{20}=0.05$
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