Statistics: Informed Decisions Using Data (4th Edition)

Published by Pearson
ISBN 10: 0321757270
ISBN 13: 978-0-32175-727-2

Chapter 5 - Section 5.5 - Assess Your Understanding - Applying the Concepts - Page 306: 60

Answer

$P(winning~Mega~Millions)=\frac{1}{175,711,536}\approx0.000000005691$

Work Step by Step

First urn: the order in which the numbers are chosen does not matter. So, there are $_{56}C_5$ possibilities. Second urn: there are 46 possibilities. To find $N(S)$ use the Multiplication Rule: $N(S)=_{56}C_5\times46=\frac{56!}{5!(56-5)!}\times46=\frac{56!}{5!\times51!}\times46$ But, $56!=56\times55\times54\times53\times52\times(51\times50\times49\times...\times3\times2\times1)=56\times55\times54\times53\times52\times51!$ $N(S)=_{56}C_5\times46=\frac{56\times55\times54\times53\times52\times51!}{5!\times51!}\times46=\frac{56\times55\times54\times53\times52}{5\times4\times3\times2\times1}\times46=175,711,536$ With a single ticket: $N(winning~Mega~Millions)=1$ Using the Classical Method (page 259): $P(winning~Mega~Millions)=\frac{N(winning~Mega~Millions)}{N(S)}\frac{1}{175,711,536}\approx0.000000005691$
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