Statistics: Informed Decisions Using Data (4th Edition)

Published by Pearson
ISBN 10: 0321757270
ISBN 13: 978-0-32175-727-2

Chapter 5 - Section 5.6 - Assess Your Understanding - Applying the Concepts - Page 312: 21g

Answer

$P(survived~|~child)=\frac{57}{109}\approx0.5229$

Work Step by Step

- First, we need to find $P(child)$: 1) a single event 2) relative frequency Use the Empirical Approach (page 258): The sample space: 2224 passengers. So, $N(S)=2224$ According to the marginal distribution (see page 235) of the third column: $N(child)=109$ $P(child)=\frac{N(child)}{N(S)}=\frac{109}{2224}$ - For $P(survived~and~child)$ use relative frequency: Empirical Approach (page 258): According to the cell in the first row, third column: $N(survived~and~child)=57$ $P(survived~and~child)=\frac{N(survived~and~child)}{N(S)}=\frac{57}{2224}$ - Now, use the Conditional Probability Rule (page 288): $P(survived~|~child)=\frac{P(survived~and~child)}{P(child)}=\frac{\frac{57}{2224}}{\frac{109}{2224}}=\frac{57}{109}\approx0.5229$
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