Statistics: Informed Decisions Using Data (4th Edition)

Published by Pearson
ISBN 10: 0321757270
ISBN 13: 978-0-32175-727-2

Chapter 5 - Section 5.4 - Assess Your Understanding - Applying the Concepts - Page 295: 36a

Answer

The events are not independent. $P(Republican~|~30-44)\ne P(Republican)$ and $P(30-44~|~Republican)\ne P(30-44).$

Work Step by Step

The sample space: 4000 Iowa Voters. So, N(S) = 4000. N(Republican) = 2200, N(30-44) = 724 and N(Republican and 30-44) = 340. So: $P(Republican)=\frac{N(Republican)}{N(S)}=\frac{2200}{4000}=0.55$. (Classical Method, page 259.) $P(30-44)=\frac{N(30-44)}{N(S)}=\frac{724}{4000}=0.181$. (Classical Method, page 259.) Now: $P(Republican~|~30-44)=\frac{N(Republican~and~30-44)}{N(30-44)}=\frac{340}{724}\approx0.4696$ (Conditional Rule, page 288.) $P(30-44~|~Republican)=\frac{N(Republican~and~30-44)}{N(Republican)}=\frac{340}{2200}=0.1545$ (Conditional Rule, page 288.) $P(Republican~|~30-44)\ne P(Republican)$ and $P(30-44~|~Republican)\ne P(30-44).$ The events are not independent. See definition, page 292.
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