Statistics: Informed Decisions Using Data (4th Edition)

Published by Pearson
ISBN 10: 0321757270
ISBN 13: 978-0-32175-727-2

Chapter 5 - Section 5.2 - Assess Your Understanding - Applying the Concepts - Page 277: 28

Answer

$P(E or F or G)=P(E)+P(F)+P(G)-P(E and F)-P(E and G)-P(F and G)+P(E and F and G)$

Work Step by Step

S = {1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21, 22, 23, 24}. So, N(S) = 24 E = {1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 14}. So, N(E)=12 F = {5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 12, 13, 15, 16}. So, N(F)=10 G = {8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 17, 18, 19, 20}. So, N(G)=11 E or F or G = {1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20}. So, N(E or F or G)=20 E and F = {5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10}. So N(E and F) = 6 E and G = {8, 9, 10, 11, 14}. So, N(E and G) = 5 F and G = {8, 9, 10, 12, 13}. So, N(F and G) = 5 E and F and G = {8, 9, 10}. So, N(E and F and G) = 3 In the sum $N(E) + N(F) + N(G) = 33 \ne N(E or F or G)$ beacuse we counted the outcomes 5, 6, 7, 11, 12, 13, 14 twice and 8, 9, 10 three times. Now, $N(E) + N(F) + N(G) - N(E and F) - N(E and G) - N(F and G) = 17 \ne N(E or F or G)$ because the outcomes 8, 9, 10 have been removed 3 times, but they should have been removed only twice. To correct the answer: $N(E) + N(F) + N(G) - N(E and F) - N(E and G) - N(F and G) + N(E and F and G) = 20 = N(E or F or G).$ Now, we have: $N(E or F or G) = N(E) + N(F) + N(G) - N(E and F) - N(E and G) - N(F and G) + N(E and F and G).$ Dividing both sides by N(S): $\frac{N(E or F or G)}{N(S)}=\frac{N(E)}{N(S)}+\frac{N(F)}{N(S)}+\frac{N(G)}{N(S)}-\frac{N(E and F)}{N(S)}-\frac{N(E and G)}{N(S)}-\frac{N(F and G)}{N(S)}+\frac{N(E and F and G)}{N(S)}.$ But, $\frac{N(E)}{N(S)}=P(E)$, $\frac{N(F)}{N(S)}=P(F)$, etc. So: $P(E or F or G)=P(E)+P(F)+P(G)-P(E and F)-P(E and G)-P(F and G)+P(E and F and G).$
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