Statistics: Informed Decisions Using Data (4th Edition)

Published by Pearson
ISBN 10: 0321757270
ISBN 13: 978-0-32175-727-2

Chapter 14 - Section 14.2 - Assess Your Understanding - Vocabulary and Skill Building - Page 697: 6d

Answer

Confidence interval: $-1.14\lt ŷ\lt1.86$ We are 90% confident that the expcted value of $y$ for a $x=1.8$ is between -1.14 and 1.86.

Work Step by Step

From problem 8 from Section 14.1: $s_e=0.5164$ $∑(x_i-x ̅)^2=(\sqrt {5-1}\times1.581)^2=9.998$ $x ̅=0$ (Problem 10d, section 4.2) $n=5$, so: $d.f.=n-2=3$ $level~of~confidence=(1-α).100$% $90$% $=(1-α).100$% $0.90=1-α$ $α=0.1$ $t_{\frac{α}{2}}=t_{0.05}=2.353$ (According to Table VI, for d.f. = 3 and area in right tail = 0.05) $Lower~bound=ŷ -t_{\frac{α}{2}}.s_e\sqrt {1+\frac{1}{n}+\frac{(x^*-x ̅)^2}{∑(x_i-x ̅)^2}}=0.36-2.353\times0.5164\sqrt {1+\frac{1}{5}+\frac{(1.8-0)^2}{9.998}}=-1.14$ $Upper~bound=ŷ +t_{\frac{α}{2}}.s_e\sqrt {1+\frac{1}{n}+\frac{(x^*-x ̅)^2}{∑(x_i-x ̅)^2}}=0.36+2.353\times0.5164\sqrt {1+\frac{1}{5}+\frac{(1.8-0)^2}{9.998}}=1.86$
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