Statistics: Informed Decisions Using Data (4th Edition)

Published by Pearson
ISBN 10: 0321757270
ISBN 13: 978-0-32175-727-2

Chapter 14 - Section 14.2 - Assess Your Understanding - Vocabulary and Skill Building - Page 697: 3d

Answer

Confidence interval: $9.873\lt ŷ\lt13.801$ We are 95% confident that the expcted value of $y$ for a $x=7$ is between 9.873 and 13.801.

Work Step by Step

From problem 5 from Section 14.1: $s_e=0.5315$ $∑(x_i-x ̅)^2=(\sqrt {5-1}\times2.073)^2=17.1893$ $x ̅=5.4$ (Problem 7d, section 4.2) $n=5$, so: $d.f.=n-2=3$ $level~of~confidence=(1-α).100$% $95$% $=(1-α).100$% $0.95=1-α$ $α=0.05$ $t_{\frac{α}{2}}=t_{0.025}=3.182$ (According to Table VI, for d.f. = 3 and area in right tail = 0.025) $Lower~bound=ŷ -t_{\frac{α}{2}}.s_e\sqrt {1+\frac{1}{n}+\frac{(x^*-x ̅)^2}{∑(x_i-x ̅)^2}}=11.837-3.182\times0.5315\sqrt {1+\frac{1}{7}+\frac{(7-5.4)^2}{17.1893}}=9.873$ $Upper~bound=ŷ +t_{\frac{α}{2}}.s_e\sqrt {1+\frac{1}{n}+\frac{(x^*-x ̅)^2}{∑(x_i-x ̅)^2}}=11.837+3.182\times0.5315\sqrt {1+\frac{1}{5}+\frac{(7-5.4)^2}{17.1893}}=13.801$
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