Precalculus (6th Edition) Blitzer

Published by Pearson
ISBN 10: 0-13446-914-3
ISBN 13: 978-0-13446-914-0

Chapter 10 - Section 10.7 - Probability - Exercise Set - Page 1121: 75


a. see explanations. b. $0.99$ c. $0.01$ d. $0.41$ e. $23 $

Work Step by Step

a. Imagine the process of choosing two birthdays. The first choice can be any day; that is, $p_1=1=\frac{365}{365}$. The second choice can be any day but the day of the first choice; that is, $p_2=\frac{364}{365}$. Thus, the probability that they do not have the same birthday is $\frac{365}{365}\times\frac{364}{365}$. b. Using the similar argument in part-(a), we have $p=\frac{365}{365}\times\frac{364}{365}\times\frac{363}{365}\approx0.99$ c. This should be the complement of part-(b); thus $p'=1-0.99=0.01$ d. First find the probability that all 20 people have different birthdays $p=\frac{365}{365}\times\frac{364}{365}\times\frac{363}{365}\times\frac{346}{365}\approx0.59$ Then, the complement is $p'=1-p=0.41$ e. We need $p'\geq 0.5$ or $p\leq 0.5$. Start from 20, increase the number of people and test until 23. We have $p=\frac{365}{365}\times\frac{364}{365}\times\frac{363}{365}\times\frac{343}{365}\approx0.49$ and $p'=1-p=0.51$ That is, we need 23 or more people.
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