Finite Math and Applied Calculus (6th Edition)

Published by Brooks Cole
ISBN 10: 1133607705
ISBN 13: 978-1-13360-770-0

Chapter 7 - Section 7.6 - Bayes' Theorem and Applications - Exercises - Page 519: 11

Answer

The probability of snowing in Greenland when glaciers are growing is approximately $0.1724$

Work Step by Step

According to Bayes' theorem: $P(S|G)=\dfrac{P(G|S)P(S)}{P(G|S)P(S)+P(G|S')+P(S')}~~~~~~~~(1)$ Here, we have $P(G|S)= 20 \% =0.2 \\ P(S)= \dfrac{1}{25} \% =0.04 \\ P(G|S')=4 \% =0.04$ Now, we will now use formula (1) and the given data to obtain: $P(S|G)=\dfrac{P(G|S)P(S)}{P(G|S)P(S)+P(G|S')+P(S')}=\dfrac{(0.2)(0.04)}{(0.2)(0.04)+(0.04) (1-0.04)}$ or, $ \approx 0.1724$ Thus, we conclude the probability of snowing in Greenland when glaciers are growing is approximately $0.1724$.
Update this answer!

You can help us out by revising, improving and updating this answer.

Update this answer

After you claim an answer you’ll have 24 hours to send in a draft. An editor will review the submission and either publish your submission or provide feedback.