Algebra 2 Common Core

Published by Prentice Hall
ISBN 10: 0133186024
ISBN 13: 978-0-13318-602-4

Chapter 11 - Probability and Statistics - 11-3 Probability of Multiple Events - Lesson Check - Page 691: 7

Answer

See explanation.

Work Step by Step

The error assumption was that the friend assumed that the events are mutually exclusive, so they could not happen together. If that were true $P(A\text{ or }B) = P(A) + P(B) = 0.3+0.7 = 1$. However, this isn't true. It's possible for there to be rain on both days, as well as for there to not be rain on either day. The actual way to find $P(A\text{ or B})$ is $$P(A\text{ or B}) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A\text{ and }B).$$ Since $P(A\text{ and }B)$ is not $0$, $P(A\text{ or }$ will be less than $1$.
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