Finite Math and Applied Calculus (6th Edition)

Published by Brooks Cole
ISBN 10: 1133607705
ISBN 13: 978-1-13360-770-0

Chapter 7 - Section 7.6 - Bayes' Theorem and Applications - Exercises - Page 518: 10

Answer

$5.3 \%$ of those who minimised or decreased their spending on music were experienced files sharers with broadband access.

Work Step by Step

According to Bayes' theorem: $P(E|D)=\dfrac{P(D|E)P(E)}{P(D|E)P(E)+P(D|E')+P(E')}~~~~~~~~(1)$ Here, we have $P(D|E)= 36 \% =0.36\\ P(E)= 3 \% =0.03 \\ P(D|E')=20 \% =0.2$ Now, we will now use formula (1) and the given data to obtain: $P(I|D)=\dfrac{P(D|I)P(I)}{P(D|I)P(I)+P(D|I')+P(I')}=\dfrac{(0.36)(0.03)}{(0.36)(0.03)+(0.2) (1-0.03)}$ or, $=0.053$ or, $=5.3 \%$ Thus, we conclude that $5.3 \%$ of those who minimized or decreased their spending on music were experienced files sharers with broadband access.
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