What does Holden find so bothersome about the ducks in the lagoon? Where do you think the ducks go? What other evidence have you seen in the story that Holden doesn’t like change? Look for such evidence as you read the rest of the story.
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The ducks usually leave in the winter and come back in the spring. Holden is worried they are going to die if they remain in the cold. I think Holden's obsession has a lot to do with his fear of change and mortality. Recall the scene near the lagoon when Holden looks for the ducks. In this scene, he obsesses about his own death and then about Allie.